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Q&A with SB Nation's resident Bracketologist Chris Dobbertean


Chris Dobbertean, a man who recently earned his Master's of Bracketological Administration from a very prestigious east coast university, lets just call it Yalevard, is the resident Bracketologist here at SB Nation, he has a daily column on the Mothership, which I recommend everyone read so they can properly adjust their rooting hatred towards any team thinking they can steal the spot preordained for the Illini. He can also be found on his home blog Blogging the Bracket. But most importantly, today he can be found here, answering a couple questions I had about the Illini and the tournament.

So, away we go.

1. The Illini are currently 18-10 and 10-5 in the Big Ten, should they lose out the regular season could this team still make the tournament?


It will be very dicey if they don't beat Minnesota Saturday. Losses at a surging Ohio State team and at home against Wisconsin would be forgivable, but the Illini really need to beat the Gophers and burst their bubble.


2. Some Illini fans are worried about the team's RPI being so bad so late in the year, at 71, do you see that as a liability for selection?

I'm going to now plug something I'll post during Championship Week, my RPI-only bracket. (Here's a link to last year's.) Basically, fans need to remember that the RPI (and all of its derivatives) is only one of the tools that the Committee uses. If you created a bracket based solely on how teams' RPIs looked on Selection Sunday, you'd end up with a pool of 34 at-larges that would look considerably different than the actual field. 

A team's finish and the "eye test" question are two things that are more important than the RPI based on what I've seen over the years. 

Star-divide



3. To go along with their good wins, the Illini also have three pretty bad losses in Utah, Bradley, and Georgia. Since those games occurred so early in the season, how much would they weigh the Illini down in the selection process.

They'll hurt a little, but not too much, considering Illinois also beat a really good Vanderbilt team, pulled off an amazing comeback at Clemson, and grabbed wins against Michigan State and at Wisconsin in the league. They'll hurt the Illini's seeding more than selection. 


4. In terms of seeding what do you see as the best and worst case scenarios for this team?
Illinois could fall anywhere from a 6 to a 10, depending on how they finish. If they sweep these next three, they'll make a big jump. If not, they'll stay in, but be down in the 9 to 10 range. 


5. I assume that five teams is just about the most the Big Ten can hope for right now, (barring a Big Ten tournament upset) do the matchups so far look like this could be a good year for the conference in the tournament?

This season was looking to be a lot better before Robbie Hummel tore his ACL Wednesday night. Purdue really looked like a team that could make it to Indy. Now, I think Ohio State has the best chance of making noise. Michigan State and Wisconsin will have tough games in the Regional Semis as four seeds. I'll have to see how the Boilermakers do in their last few games without Hummel before I make a guess as to how far they can go. 


6. Just tell us again UNC wont be going to the dance this year, it is best schadenfreude  there could be.

UNC won't be going dancing, Joe, unless they make a miracle run through the ACC Tournament. And watching them play lately, that isn't happening.

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whew

he answered that last question perfectly

by Mike Wazowski on Feb 27, 2010 12:08 PM CST reply actions  

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